BRUSSELS: Europe
warned on Thursday that its debt crisis was dragging the region towards a
new recession, deepening the sense of foreboding as Italy and Greece
struggled to put together new governments.
Amid a call by the
head of the International Monetary Fund for an end to the political
wrangling, it was still unclear who would emerge as the new leaders of
Greece and Italy after both countries' premiers threw in the towel.
After
doubts grew over Italy's ability to keep servicing its debts, the
European Union's new economy tsar said the bloc faced tipping back into
recession in 2012 due to a "vicious circle" of government debt,
vulnerable banks and collapsed spending.
"Growth has stalled in
Europe, and there is a risk of a new recession," Olli Rehn said as the
EU released detailed forecasts for the eurozone and broader econonomy
for the next two years, with GDP "now projected to stagnate until well
into 2012."
Growth across the eurozone in 2012 would collapse to
0.5 percent, said the forecast, a steep drop from its previous
prediction of 1.8 percent. The forecast for this year was also revised
downwards from 1.6 to 1.5 percent.
The economy in Italy, the
eurozone's third largest economy, would virtually stagnate in 2012 with
growth of just 0.1 percent, according to the forecast.
Italy's
growing crisis has already prompted Prime Minister Silvio Berlusconi to
announce his resignation. He will stand down after parliamentary
approval this weekend of a package of economic reforms aimed at calming
investor fears, which have pushed Italy's borrowing rates to alarming
levels of seven percent.
The handover of power has led to fevered
backroom negotiations, with former EU commissioner Mario Monti seen as
the frontrunner to succeed Berlusconi.
Monti received the backing
on Thursday of Berlusconi, with the outgoing premier saying that he
would work "in the interests of the country".
The 68-year-old
Monti earned a fearless reputation as the European Union's competition
commissioner taking on US corporate giants Microsoft and General
Electric and is seen as a possible head of a national unity government.
Monti's
appointment was not a done deal however after several leading members
of Berlusconi's centre-right coalition insisted on early elections.
"Italy
is facing a difficult time and particularly arduous choices to overcome
the crisis," said President Giorgio Napolitano, who will be forced to
call early elections if there is no consensus on a new government.
"Europe
is urgently awaiting important signals of a taking on of responsibility
by one of its founders. We will be up to the task."
On
Wednesday, Italy's 10-year bond yields flew over 7.0-percent to heights
that could make it impossible for Rome to keep financing its
1.9-trillion euro ($2.6 trillion) debt.
In a key test after
Berlusconi's resignation announcement, Italy paid record rates of over
six percent at an auction of treasury bills on Thursday.
Greece
is also been in political turmoil since Prime Minister George Papandreou
announced on Sunday he was standing down, triggering days of bickering
between political leaders over the succession.
There was hope
however that a new transitional government could be announced on
Thursday whose first task will be to ratify a crucial EU bailout deal.
A
meeting between President Carolos Papoulias and top political leaders
opened at 0800 GMT with reports indicating that former European Central
Bank vice-president Lucas Papademos would be given the reins of
government in Greece's worst post-war crisis.
The Athens stock
exchange was up 2.19 percent in morning trade in expectation of a deal
on the fourth day of secrecy-veiled negotiations between Papandreou and
the head of the opposition, conservative leader Antonis Samaras.
Europe's
main markets plunged in early trading but staged a slight rally later
in the morning. Frankfurt rebounded 1.04 percent and Paris added 0.98
percent, despite rising pressures in the French bond market.
Christine Lagarde, the head of the IMF, said both Greece and Italy urgently needed to sort out their leadership difficulties.
"Political
clarity is conducive to more stability ... it is much needed in Greece,
it is much needed in Italy," the IMF chief told journalists in Beijing.
Confusion
over the future leadership of both countries was "conducive to
volatility," added Lagarde, who is on a two-day visit to China.
The
turmoil in parts of the eurozone has prompted questions about the
single currency's whole future, including in the continent's economic
powerhouse Germany.
According to a report in the German business
daily Handelsblatt, MPs in Chancellor Angela Merkel's governing
conservative party are mulling a move to permit countries to exit the
eurozone without leaving the EU.
A motion from a group of
lawmakers, which calls for any country's departure to be on a voluntary
basis, is set to be discussed at the Christian Democrats' (CDU) party
congress next week, Handelsblatt said.
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