Showing posts with label US Federal Reserve chairman Ben Bernanke. Show all posts
Showing posts with label US Federal Reserve chairman Ben Bernanke. Show all posts

Tuesday, November 20, 2012

Bernanke steps up warning over fiscal cliff

WASHINGTON: US Federal Reserve chairman Ben Bernanke stepped up his warning Tuesday over the looming 'fiscal cliff,' saying its mandatory tax hikes and spending cuts pose a "substantial threat" to the country's economic recovery.

With government leaders locked in crunch talks on avoiding the cliff and slashing the budget deficit, Bernanke said that rising cuts to federal government spending were already holding back economic growth.

"Congress and the administration will need to protect the economy from the full brunt of the severe fiscal tightening at the beginning of next year that is built into current law -- the so-called fiscal cliff," the US central bank chief said in a speech in New York.

"The realization of all of the automatic tax increases and spending cuts that make up the fiscal cliff, absent offsetting changes, would pose a substantial threat to the recovery," he said, according to the prepared text.

"Indeed, by the reckoning of the Congressional Budget Office and that of many outside observers, a fiscal shock of that size would send the economy toppling back into recession."

Bernanke said the Fed already views growth as disappointingly slow and troubled by threats from the eurozone crisis, slow job creation and the reticence of banks to loosen lending standards -- which Bernanke said is holding back recovery in the housing sector.

The unemployment rate, currently 7.9 percent, remains "well above" what Fed officials want to see, Bernanke said, adding that the country has "some way to go before the labour market can be deemed healthy again."

But Bernanke pointed out that pressures to wind up the stimulus programs and other policy actions designed to pull the country out of recession, and stepped-up efforts to rapidly reduce the federal budget deficit, are now "restraining" gross domestic product growth.

"Indeed, under almost any plausible scenario, next year the drag from federal fiscal policy on GDP growth will outweigh the positive effects on growth from fiscal expansion at the state and local level," he said.

Bernanke's warning came as the White House and top officials from Congress are locked in talks to avert the cliff and set a long-term plan for reducing the deficit, which has topped $1 trillion a year for four years running.

The cliff comprises two challenges: a drastic spending reduction program, and the expiration of a broad range of "temporary" tax decreases.

Both are to take place on January 1, and together would suck at least $500 billion out of the economy, forcing it into recession.

Republicans and Democrats though have sharply differed on what kind of long-term spending reductions and increases in tax revenues should be put in place to replace the cliff.

Bernanke said that the deficit is "on an unsustainable path," requiring a "credible framework" to stabilize and reduce the country's debt and deficit load.

But he warned policy makers "to avoid unnecessarily adding to the headwinds that are already holding back the economic recovery."

"Preventing a sudden and severe contraction in fiscal policy early next year will support the transition of the economy back to full employment."

Tuesday, August 28, 2012

Euro pushes up against dollar

WASHINGTON: The euro rebounded against the dollar Tuesday, pushing higher in early trade after falling for two straight days and then holding ground following a poor US consumer confidence reading.

At around 2300 GMT, the euro was at $1.2565, up 0.53 per cent on the dollar from late Monday.

The euro also picked up against the yen, rising to 98.68 from 98.41 yen Monday. The dollar fell to 78.49 yen from 78.74.

Markets were on watch for more signals of possible stimulus from US Federal Reserve chairman Ben Bernanke in a keynote speech on Friday.

"The greenback may face additional headwinds going into the Jackson Hole Economic Symposium as market participants increase bets for another round of quantitative easing," said David Song of DailyFx.

The British pound rose to $1.5819 from $1.5792. The dollar was at 0.9558 Swiss francs, compared to 0.9609 francs Monday.
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