Friday, September 14, 2012

QE3 effect pushes US dollar lower

NEW YORK: The Federal Reserve's open-ended QE3 stimulus and a rise in eurozone confidence pushed the US dollar lower on Friday, passing the $1.31 per euro line for the first time since early May.

The impact of the stimulus programme announced on Thursday continued to shake through markets, leaving the euro back in its early-2012 range after sinking to close to $1.20 in late July.

At 2100 GMT the euro was at $1.3127, up 1.41 cents from Thursday.

The dollar also fell against the yen, to 78.37 yen from 77.48 yen, and the Swiss franc, which traded at 0.9272 to the dollar.

The British pound continued its climb higher, too, to $1.6220 from $1.6152.

The euro meanwhile pushed higher on the yen, to 102.90 yen from 100.61 Thursday.

"The US Dollar is taking a beating in virtually every asset class due to the Fed's QE Infiniti plan," said Neil Gilbert of GFT.

"The reason for this beat-down is that the Fed will be injecting additional capital into the current money supply, increasing the number of dollars available, and in turn, decreasing the value of each dollar that is currently out there, to the tune of $40 billion per month."

"The question now becomes, how long will this last?"

Some analysts were beginning to doubt that it would go on much longer.

"We have been neutral on the euro for some time, expecting a short-covering rally on the back of removal of tail risk, and positive resolution of key European event risk," said Jens
Nordvig of Nomura Global FX.

"But with euro-US dollar now at $1.31, and with a number of positive event risks behind us, we think it is time to start fading Euro strength again.

"Given yesterday's QE announcement, is possible, however, that the dollar will continue to trade weakly on a global basis for a little while," he added.

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